The Political Trade

Welcome to The Political Trade

The Political Trade is the only podcast devoted to political freaks and probability geeks seeking fun and profit by trading in political prediction markets.

Host Jeff Joseph joins elite prediction market traders and political insiders offering actionable insights on the week’s best trading opportunities. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.

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Latest Episodes

Harry Crane: Polls, Markets, Georgia, Cahaly & Silver (#33)

Rutgers University’s Harry Crane discusses his new research comparing the accuracy of polling models with the prediction markets following the November election, giving FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver another reason to troll tweet. Also, Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly tips off TPT to some potentially market-moving poll results he is about to release about the upcoming Georgia Senate races.
Harry Crane: Polls, Markets, Georgia, Cahaly & Silver (#33)

Jo Jorgensen: Not a “Shy” Libertarian (#32)

In this special episode, Libertarian Party presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen teaches Libertarian 101. Dr. Jorgensen takes us to school about “shy Libertarian voters,” wasted red & blue votes, victimless crimes, Seagrams, meth, Edward Snowden, pre-existing medical conditions, big tech, the Clemson Tigers & cask-strength whiskey.
Jo Jorgensen: Not a “Shy” Libertarian (#32)

31 for 31: The Best of TPT & VP Debate Recap (#31)

Republicans, Democrats, partisans & wingnuts … There’s something for everyone in this special recap episode featuring favorite guests, moments and trades from our last 30 episodes. In the second half of the episode, Star Spangled Gamblers’ Pratik Chougule shares his post-VP debate analysis, as well as some trade ideas. TRENDS: Our No-Fly Debate Zone & Pratik Predicts a Wave. TRADES: Florida Blues & Longshot, or EC Money?
31 for 31: The Best of TPT & VP Debate Recap (#31)
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The Political Trade Blog

Jo Jorgensen: On “Wasted” Votes & Shy Libertarians

In solid red or blue states, one vote is unlikely to change the outcome. Instead, Libertarian presidential nominee Jo Jorgensen suggests using that vote to support third parties and, as… Read More
Recent Posts

The Pollster Who Nailed 2016 Says the Polls Are Wrong, Trump Will Win

The Pros are Betting on Blue

GOP Insider: Begging Trump’s Pardon, Breaking Blago & Some Big, Bold Predictions

Hedging Political Bets

Jeff
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Host of The Political Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox




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Top 10 Markets Traded
SPX
SPY +1.84%
/ES
AMZN +0.46%
NFLX +1.00%
TSLA -3.78%
AAPL +2.84%
QQQ +1.51%
BA -0.66%
NVDA +0.74%
SPX
SPY +1.84%
/ES
AMZN +0.46%
NFLX +1.00%
TSLA -3.78%
AAPL +2.84%
QQQ +1.51%
BA -0.66%
NVDA +0.74%