The Prediction Trade

Welcome to The Prediction Trade

The Prediction Trade is the only podcast for gamblers, traders, investors, math freaks, data geeks and superforecasters devoted to the intersection of probability, prediction and profit.

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade!

Listen to our trailer below.

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Latest Episodes

Be a Better Weather Bettor (#44)

Want to be a wiser weather wagerer? TPT enlists Rick DiMaio, an expert meteorologist and meteorology professor, to walk through the weather markets on the Kalshi prediction market platform.
Be a Better Weather Bettor (#44)

Canadian Election Update (#43)

The Prediction Trade goes back to Canada with Toronto-based public affairs consultant, political commentator, writer and speaker Tasha Kheiriddin. After successfully forecasting a Canadian election would take place in 2021, Tasha shares her calls for the number of Liberal and Conservative seats in Parliament, as well as who she thinks will come out of the election as Prime Minister.
Canadian Election Update (#43)

Kalshi: Bet on Everything (#42)

There’s a new prediction game in town: Kalshi, the first federally regulated events exchange. Kalshi is now taking trades on whether it will rain in NYC, when Kanye West’s next album will drop, how many people will get vaccinated this week, and all sorts of other outcomes. Prediction market traders, investors and gamblers alike have been waiting for this moment. The Prediction Trade sits down for an exclusive interview with the market’s two founders, Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara.
Kalshi: Bet on Everything (#42)
View More Episodes

The Prediction Trade Blog

Is Inflation Transitory?

You can bet on it. Literally. By now, just about everyone has heard about—if not felt—the rise of inflation. And as the top-of-mind question evolved from “Will inflation happen” to… Read More
Recent Posts

Kalshi: The Exchange for Everything

What Gamblers Can Learn From Superforecasters

Business Forecasting Models

The Cost of Overconfidence

Jeff
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Host of The Prediction Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox




    tastyworks
    Top 10 Markets Traded
    SPX
    SPY -1.96%
    /ES
    AMZN +0.46%
    NFLX -21.79%
    TSLA -5.26%
    AAPL +2.84%
    QQQ -2.77%
    BA -4.09%
    NVDA -3.21%
    SPX
    SPY -1.96%
    /ES
    AMZN +0.46%
    NFLX -21.79%
    TSLA -5.26%
    AAPL +2.84%
    QQQ -2.77%
    BA -4.09%
    NVDA -3.21%