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Welcome to The Prediction Trade

The Prediction Trade is the only podcast for gamblers, traders, investors, math freaks, data geeks and superforecasters devoted to the intersection of probability, prediction and profit.

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade!

Listen to our trailer below.

The Prediction Trade

Latest Episodes

Midterm Forecasts: Can Bitecofer Best Her Last Bets? (#63)

Two years after her first appearance on The Prediction Trade, political strategist Rachel Bitecofer has returned to build on her previous appearance’s success. It’s a high bar. Last time, she correctly handicapped 10 contentious markets ahead of the 2020 election. On this appearance, Rachel takes a look at the Pennsylvania and Arizona Senate elections, House and Senate control after the midterms, and who will win the Los Angeles mayoral election.
Midterm Forecasts: Can Bitecofer Best Her Last Bets? (#63)

This Part-time (Profitable) Political Trader Shares His Midterm Bets

How do you make six figures trading in prediction markets? SXSW’s Brett Cannon knows, and in this episode of The Prediction Trade he shares the market bets he’s currently making on PredictIt. From Marco Rubio’s Senate race and Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking Senate votes to whether Donald Trump will file for president before 2023, Brett shares his strategies across a variety of market topics.
This Part-time (Profitable) Political Trader Shares His Midterm Bets

What’s Next for Stocks and Some Midterm Locks (#61)

In three compelling trade ideas—one lock, one longshot and one even-money bet—Garrett Baldwin covers student loan debt, Dr. Oz’s Pennsylvania Senate race and overall Senate control after the midterm elections. Plus, he calls upon his expertise as an economist to share his take on what’s going on in the stock market.
What’s Next for Stocks and Some Midterm Locks (#61)
View More Episodes

The Prediction Trade Blog

Prediction Markets for Prescient Political Punters

A political prediction market trader holds forth on recession, the 2024 presidential race, politically charged indictments and the chance of a nuclear armageddon  he ink is still wet on the… Read More
Recent Posts

The Murky Future of Political Futures Markets

Uncertain Political Futures

Student Debt Bets

Making Rain

Jeff
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Host of The Prediction Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox




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