The Prediction Trade

Welcome to The Prediction Trade

The Prediction Trade is the only podcast for gamblers, traders, investors, math freaks, data geeks and superforecasters devoted to the intersection of probability, prediction and profit.

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade!

Listen to our trailer below.

Listen and subscribe here!

Listen on Apple Listen on Spotify Listen on Google Listen on Stitcher Listen on TuneIn Listen on iHeart Radio Subscribe via RSS Feed

Latest Episodes

Pro Energy Stock Picker: Tracy Shuchart (#52)

Markets got you down? Pro energy stock trader Tracy Shuchart manages a nine-figure portfolio for a family office. In this special stock pickers episode, Shuchart reveals the eight energy stocks she owns today, her forecast for the price of oil and the reason behind her positive outlook for the energy sector. The crew also looks at the PA GOP Senate race and revisits insights from pollster Robert Cahaly.
Pro Energy Stock Picker: Tracy Shuchart (#52)

Derby Bets You Won’t Regret (#51)

You know you want to bet on the Kentucky Derby, and you’re in luck! Veteran horse racing analyst Molly Jo Rosen sorts out the field for you, including the horse to bet on to win it all. (Spoiler: It’s not Epicenter!) Molly Jo covers how to bet and which horses to avoid in this year’s Run for the Roses. She also reveals her daily double, quinella, exacta and trifecta bets. As an added bonus, the TPT crew looks at MLB wagers, inflation trades and the Georgia GOP gubernatorial primary.
Derby Bets You Won’t Regret (#51)

Trump, Midterms & Trafalgar (#50)

The Trafalgar Group’s founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024.
Trump, Midterms & Trafalgar (#50)
View More Episodes

The Prediction Trade Blog

Traders, Speculators & Gamblers: Season 3 Is Here!

The Prediction Trade returned this week, kicking off its third season with trade ideas in PredictIt’s Brazilian election markets, bets on the NCAA March Madness tournament and forecasts for Kalshi’s… Read More
Recent Posts

Is Inflation Transitory?

Kalshi: The Exchange for Everything

What Gamblers Can Learn From Superforecasters

Business Forecasting Models

Jeff
Get Luckbox Magazine
for FREE Here

Connect with Jeff Joseph

Host of The Prediction Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox




    tastyworks
    Top 10 Markets Traded
    SPX
    SPY -0.41%
    /ES
    AMZN +0.46%
    NFLX +1.19%
    TSLA -5.88%
    AAPL +2.84%
    QQQ -1.16%
    BA -2.48%
    NVDA -2.50%
    SPX
    SPY -0.41%
    /ES
    AMZN +0.46%
    NFLX +1.19%
    TSLA -5.88%
    AAPL +2.84%
    QQQ -1.16%
    BA -2.48%
    NVDA -2.50%