Three Keys to Successful Directional Trading

The management of directional risk is key when trading the financial markets Accurately predicting price direction in the financial markets isn’t an easy proposition, especially in short-term situations. In fact, numerous market studies suggest that picking direction correctly in the near term has about a 50-50 likelihood of success.  That’s why many market participants choose … Continued

Volatility Contraction Part 1: Mean Reversion

In finance, mean reversion describes the tendency of asset prices to move toward their average, over time. A mean reversion-based trade therefore expresses the belief that an asset has deviated too far from its real value—or at least from its mean price—and that opportunities for profit exist when reversion to the mean occurs. Contrarians, whether … Continued

High Volatility in the Euro: There is a trade for that

Whether you’re trading equities, bonds, or commodities (or all three), there’s been a plethora of good opportunities to add currencies to the portfolio during the month of August.. And with volatility spiking in all of those markets, it’s likely traders have added at least a few new short premium positions in the last couple weeks—especially … Continued

Stalking the Soybean-Corn Ratio Amid Falling Corn Prices

While cryptocurrencies have become synonymous with extreme volatility, the year 2019 has seen many “old school” trading products see a noticeable uptick in daily movement. At the top of this list, in terms of shock value, has been the increasing volatility exhibited in many agricultural commodities, like soybeans, wheat, and corn. Agricultural products such as … Continued

Steel Shots in the Trade War

When President Donald Trump first levied tariffs on steel imports (to the tune of 25%) in March 2018, it’s doubtful his intent was to reduce the enterprise values of American steel companies, nor to watch the underlying price of steel spiral lower.  However, checking in on the state of the American steel industry in July … Continued

Two Factors Will Decide the Markets Direction for 2019

Based on the behavior of the S&P 500 in the last 6-7 months, there are two big stories that will likely continue to dictate market direction through the remainder of 2019 (and possibly beyond). The two biggest current news stories in the financial markets are the U.S.-China trade war and developments related to U.S. Federal … Continued