Reality Check: A Recession is Still Expected in 2024
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker projects that the U.S. economy will grow at a rate of 5% in 2023, but a recession is still expected to develop at some point in H1 2024
Reality Check: A Recession is Still Expected in 2024
Latest Yield Curve Signals that Expectations for the U.S. Economy are Deteriorating
On Nov. 22, the spread between the 2- and 10-year Treasury bonds extended to -73 basis points, marking the sharpest inversion in the U.S. yield curve since 1982
Trading the Next Big Inflation Report
Historical data illustrates that the stock market tends to underperform when a Federal Reserve rate hike cycle is accompanied by high levels of inflation.
Trading Metals Amidst a Looming Recession
During previous economic contractions, gold has been a relatively safe place to park capital, which is why investors and traders may want to give this niche of the financial markets a closer look in 2022.
Historical Data Suggests Recession Could Follow Oil Spike
Crude oil prices skyrocketed during Q1 2022, and historical data shows that can often lead to contractions in the underlying economy.
The Yield Curve Inversion: What You Need to Know
The U.S. yield curve inverted at the end of October, and while that may be a notable development, it doesn’t necessarily indicate that a recession in the U.S. economy will materialize anytime soon.
Bear Market Lessons From Past Pandemics
Many investors and traders are currently grappling with a broader understanding of the current coronavirus crisis in the context of market history. Due to the extreme spike in volatility during 2020, which was also observed during the previous Financial Crisis in 2008-2009, market participants (pundits and traders alike) have tried to extrapolate lessons from that … Continued
Scaramucci on the Pandemic, Politics and Profitable Predictions
Former White House Director of Communications Anthony Scaramucci wrote in a CNN Business Perspectives piece last week that the U.S. government needed to think bigger about its stimulus response to Covid-19 “or else it risks another Great Depression.” Scaramucci, the founder and managing partner of investment management firm SkyBridge Capital, outlined steps such as backstopping … Continued