Science with a touch of art has replaced mysticism as the preferred method of foretelling what lies ahead The word “Superforecasting” doesn’t carry any hidden meaning. “Super” means far above average, and “forecasting” is the act of making predictions. So, Superforecasters are simply much better than most people at calculating what lies ahead, whether the … Continued
The most shallow, duplicitous, nefarious, hypocritical and sanctimonious candidate will get the gig, Ratigan says Kamala Harris will be Joe Biden’s vice-presidential nominee, asserts former MSNBC host Dylan Ratigan. “I’ve never been more confident of anything in my life,” Ratigan said during an appearance on prediction market-focused podcast The Political Trade. “Make sure you hold … Continued
Senior researcher at the Niskanen Center Rachel Bitecofer is no stranger to political forecasting, skyrocketing in popularity after nailing the 2018 midterms with near total accuracy. And to prediction market traders who heed her predictions, Bitecofer has proven her modeling is not only insightful, but valuable. Political polarization and hyper partisanship lie at the heart … Continued