How Much Does the U.S. Really Spend on NATO and Foreign Aid?
The U.S. is paying less than you might think to defend Europe, and NATO members are stepping up their contributions
How Much Does the U.S. Really Spend on NATO and Foreign Aid?
An All-Star Panel Wades Into the Election Prediction Market Trading Pits
Mark Cuban, Robert Cahaly, and others joined Luckbox’s Jeff Joseph to look several days into the future without the advantage of a crystal ball
What’s Driving Luckbox Readers to the Voting Booth?
Our most recent survey reveals the political thinking of our favorite group of investors
Big Crypto’s Campaign Cash
Two companies have opened up their crypto wallets to lead the corporate sector in 2024 election campaign contributions
Economics Scorecard: Trump vs. Biden
Despite differing politics and policies, the economic records of the two presidents share a common theme: resilience
We’re Finding Plenty To Criticize in the Harris and Trump Economic Platforms
Polarization aside, some policy proposals of both the left and the right are wrong
Taking Stock in Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce
Prediction market Polymarket is booking bets on the famous couple’s romance while Predictit makes a market on who’ll get the GOP nod for president
Prediction Markets for Prescient Political Punters
A political prediction market trader holds forth on recession, the 2024 presidential race, politically charged indictments and the chance of a nuclear armageddon he ink is still wet on the midterm ballots, which can only mean one thing: The 2024 presidential campaign is now in full swing. So let’s start there with our assessments of … Continued
Betting Against the Political Polls
Pollsters fared badly in the 2020 elections, especially down-ballot. Were prediction markets a better bet? Forecasters are a shifty bunch, adept at concocting preemptive excuses and post hoc narratives for why their projections are right, no matter what happens. They eagerly point out the stupidity of betting markets, such as political prediction market PredictIt.org, yet … Continued
The Lincoln Project: A Sign of What’s to Come, or Just More Noise?
Big-name Republicans are backing the super PAC, including Anthony Scaramucci Republican- and former-Republican-led super PAC the Lincoln Project has cracked the code to virality, but its primary targets aren’t Democrats. They’re President Donald Trump and Republican senators. “The Lincoln Project is holding accountable those who would violate their oaths to the Constitution and would put … Continued