Where Are We Headed?

Where Are We Headed?

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Here’s a quick look at our upcoming Winter 2023/24 print issue, The Annual Issue with Forecasting, which is live now

Traders, Speculators & Gamblers: Season 3 Is Here!

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The Prediction Trade returned this week, kicking off its third season with trade ideas in PredictIt’s Brazilian election markets, bets on the NCAA March Madness tournament and forecasts for Kalshi’s 2022 Academy Awards markets. The show evolved for its new season to include a video format, and Luckbox magazine editor at large Garrett Baldwin was … Continued

The Lincoln Project: A Sign of What’s to Come, or Just More Noise?

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Big-name Republicans are backing the super PAC, including Anthony Scaramucci Republican- and former-Republican-led super PAC the Lincoln Project has cracked the code to virality, but its primary targets aren’t Democrats. They’re President Donald Trump and Republican senators. “The Lincoln Project is holding accountable those who would violate their oaths to the Constitution and would put … Continued

Dylan Ratigan Is Certain About Joe Biden’s VP Pick

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The most shallow, duplicitous, nefarious, hypocritical and sanctimonious candidate will get the gig, Ratigan says Kamala Harris will be Joe Biden’s vice-presidential nominee, asserts former MSNBC host Dylan Ratigan. “I’ve never been more confident of anything in my life,” Ratigan said during an appearance on prediction market-focused podcast The Political Trade. “Make sure you hold … Continued

Rachel Bitecofer Knows Partisan Politics

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Senior researcher at the Niskanen Center Rachel Bitecofer is no stranger to political forecasting, skyrocketing in popularity after nailing the 2018 midterms with near total accuracy. And to prediction market traders who heed her predictions, Bitecofer has proven her modeling is not only insightful, but valuable. Political polarization and hyper partisanship lie at the heart … Continued