Kickoff to Q4 Earnings Season

Earnings: Daily Breakdown Earning Season “officially” begins with the big banks. Expect to see the bulk of earnings at the end of this month and beginning of next. One way to play earning stocks is to look for a “volatility crush” that tends to happen immediately after the release of the earning announcement. This is … Continued

Probabilities Don’t Lie

“Occurrences” when trading volatility typically refers to the total number of trades deployed over a given period of time (one year, for example). Because volatility trading relies so heavily on mathematical probabilities, it stands to reason that the likelihood of reaching those probabilities increases along with the number of occurrences. For example, if you flip … Continued

The Weather Trade

Unlike the weather, probability-based investment strategies prove surprisingly predictable. Not everyone wakes up thinking about proactive investing—but most contemplate the weather almost every day. In fact, the Weather Channel is piped into something like 79 million American homes. That’s about 61% of all the households in the United States. And that’s not counting all the … Continued