Is the Yield Curve Playing Tricks, or is Recession on the Horizon?
A seemingly reliable economic indicator is ‘Uninverting.’ Here’s what you need to know.
Is the Yield Curve Playing Tricks, or is Recession on the Horizon?
Options Trading Opportunities Multiply as VIX Surges to 6-Month High
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) recently notched a six-month high, signaling that perceived risks in the financial markets are rising
Trading the Current Bond Market Rebound
The U.S. bond market corrected sharply in 2022, but current economic conditions suggest a possible rebound this year
One of the World’s Largest Financial Markets Suffers From Insufficient Liquidity
Liquidity in the $24 trillion U.S. Treasury market has been anything but reliable in 2022, and this emerging market reality has become a significant concern for government officials, bond market participants and the broader financial sector
Trading the Yield Curve’s Latest Inversion with U.S. Treasury Yields
The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury is currently 3.27%, while the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury is 2.82%, representing a multi-decade extreme in the relationship between the two.
Inversion in Treasuries: Two Ways to Trade
A savvy futures trader’s take on the markets Rip van Winkle slept for 20 years, but that was 200 years ago. Today, van Winkle’s smart phone would probably disturb his slumber after a mere 12 years. So suppose the Washington Irving character nodded off back in 2007 and awoke last month. He would have been … Continued
Big Fed Decision Looms; Opportunities Multiply
Given the dramatic movement in bond prices and interest rates so far in 2019, traders of futures and associated options have certainly enjoyed a rich opportunity. And as of right now, it doesn’t look like the drama will be ending anytime soon—especially with another important meeting of the Federal Reserve set to take place on … Continued