The Prediction Trade

Welcome to The Prediction Trade

The Prediction Trade is the only podcast for gamblers, traders, investors, math freaks, data geeks and superforecasters devoted to the intersection of probability, prediction and profit.

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade!

Listen to our trailer below.

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The Prediction Trade Blog

The Cost of Overconfidence

Hubris erects a barrier to good forecasting. Unchecked, it could prove expensive.  With SPACs all the rage, it’s important not to get too carried away by the rhetoric. Overconfidence can… Read More

Connect with Jeff Joseph

Host of The Prediction Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox