Prediction Markets for Prescient Political Punters

A political prediction market trader holds forth on recession, the 2024 presidential race, politically charged indictments and the chance of a nuclear armageddon  he ink is still wet on the midterm ballots, which can only mean one thing: The 2024 presidential campaign is now in full swing. So let’s start there with our assessments of … Continued

The Murky Future of Political Futures Markets

A prediction market insider asks regulators for leniency in the battle over wagering on political outcomes.  The sometimes sleepy world of political prediction markets has found itself, rather suddenly, in a straight-up frenzy. In August, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) revoked PredictIt’s no-action relief and ordered it to shut down by February over alleged … Continued