Nadal Closes 2020 with Big GOAT Energy
Luckbox loves outliers. Rafael Nadal won his record-tying 20th major title at the French Open in Paris on Oct. 11. It was the 13th time that Nadal has lifted the…
Q3 Tech Earnings Season: Dates to Know
Earnings season for traders is a bit like March Madness for basketball fans—there’s a ton more action to follow, and typically a lot more drama, too. Case in point, the…
Tom Sosnoff Builds Futures
Investors and traders looking to expand their market activities beyond stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equity options may want to tune into a recent TradeTalk with tastytrade founder and co-CEO…
Lady Liberty
In the 2016 presidential election, the Libertarian ticket of former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld for vice president pulled off the party’s…
Exploiting Election Week Volatility
Stock options can triple in volatility as election day approaches, creating opportunities for traders to sell when prices skyrocket Expectation of movement in the markets helps determine the price of…
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Topics
An Election Up for Grabs? -
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Tactics
Tom Sosnoff Builds Futures
Topics
An Election Up for Grabs?
Two methods of foretelling the outcome of presidential elections—both of them long-established and well-regarded—are coming up with different predictions this cycle. One favors Trump and…
Uncertain Indicators
A close look as some historically reliable predictors—some are picking Trump, while others favor Biden An abyss of uncertainty—that’s what the upcoming presidential election represents…
Third-Party Challenge to the Two-Party Schism
In the 2020 election, the Libertarian Party will once again appear on the ballot in all 50 states. With that in mind, Joe Bishop-Henchman, the…
Lady Liberty
In the 2016 presidential election, the Libertarian ticket of former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld for vice…
Trends
The Pollster Who Nailed 2016 Says the Polls Are Wrong, Trump Will Win
Social desirability bias has created a shy Trump voter effect, Trafalgar Group’s chief pollster Robert Cahaly says. The result? Trump could fare much better on…
The Cult of Celebrity Spirits
We value our liquid assets and the master distillers who make them special, so we’re not the least bit impressed when a celebrity attaches his…
Bulls, Bears & Agnostics
Which party will control the White House and Congress? The dirty little secret is the markets really couldn’t care less. You know Xi Jinping? General…
Trump and Biden’s Bones
Let’s calculate the probabilities of the septuagenarian presidential candidates making it through a full term or being diagnosed with dementia. The probabilities are expressed as…
Ballot-Measure Mania
Believe it or not, you actually care about some of the referenda up for a vote on state ballots during the general election—like legalized weed…
AMERICA NEEDS MORE PARTIES
Multiparty democracy leads to more broadly legitimate, inclusive and moderate policymaking In a two-party democracy, voters can collectively toggle between a left party and a…
The Antidote to Politics
Ease the anxiety of a fraught electoral season by striving to live in the moment and accepting others Americans tend to view the presidential elections…
Q3 Tech Earnings Season: Dates to Know
Earnings season for traders is a bit like March Madness for basketball fans—there’s a ton more action to follow, and typically a lot more drama,…
Take This Poker Quiz
Poker is a game of skill. Do you have what it takes? The deal: At a seven-handed final table with blinds at 100,000/200,000 and a…
Vinyl’s Revival: A Decade of Growth
A seemingly endless amount of music is just a smartphone tap away, but that isn’t stopping a growing demographic of music-lovers from listening the old-fashioned…
Meet Ryan Grace
Ryan Grace, Chief Market Strategist, dough Office Chicago Age 33 Years trading 15 How did you start trading? Since childhood, I was fascinated with the…
Trades
AMZN: Prime Sell
Candlestick chart analysis for intermediate-term trading As the third-largest Nasdaq…
The Stock Market is Apolitical
A casual observer might assume that who wins or loses the presidency would have a profound effect on both the economy and the stock market, but…
US-China Trade Impacts Aussie Dollar
U.S. equity indexes have hit historic highs, but the price action included periods of drawdowns throughout last year. Some drawdowns were related to negative U.S.-China…
Bump Stocks & Biden
On that historic night in November 2016 when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton for the presidency, traders weren’t glued to news networks but instead to…
Bond Basics
The stock market comes to mind when people think of trading. After all, stocks breed excitement. Equities have been on a tear for most of…
All Your Options
Have a directional assumption about a stock? With options, traders have a much larger range of possibilities than with stocks. Instead of being just “bullish”…
Tactics
Tracking Big Movements in Stock Market Indexes
In just a few weeks, two important events will be revealed to the financial markets: the results of the presidential election and the results of…
Basics of Equity Options Trading
Many investors and traders are comfortable trading equities (i.e. stocks), but fewer are familiar with equity options. Knowledge and awareness of this niche of the…
Just Another Trading Day
Markets don’t move much when America goes to the polls What happens to the markets during a presidential election? Not much. History indicates traders need…
Three Election-Day Hedges
Check out the pros and cons of three ways to protect a portfolio amid the uncertainties of a race for the presidency Buy a put…
The Limits of Standard Deviation
Why use standard deviation to look at past stock prices when options provide a window into what’s to come? One of the easiest ways to…
Tail Risk & the Coronavirus Crisis
Humans don’t necessarily worry about “tail risk” on a daily basis, at least not in the same way as animals born with this appendage. For…
Tom Sosnoff Builds Futures
Investors and traders looking to expand their market activities beyond stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equity options may want to tune into a recent TradeTalk…
Exploiting Election Week Volatility
Stock options can triple in volatility as election day approaches, creating opportunities for traders to sell when prices skyrocket Expectation of movement in the markets…
Taking Equity in Futures Options
Equity options traders often rely on implied volatility to assess opportunities, but the practice isn’t limited to the equities segment of the financial markets. Futures…
