Topics
An Election Up for Grabs?
Two methods of foretelling the outcome of presidential elections—both of them long-established and well-regarded—are coming up with different predictions this cycle. One favors Trump and…
Uncertain Indicators
A close look as some historically reliable predictors—some are picking Trump, while others favor Biden An abyss of uncertainty—that’s what the upcoming presidential election represents…
Lady Liberty
In the 2016 presidential election, the Libertarian ticket of former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld for vice…

The Political Trade

Liquid Assets

The Cult of Celebrity Spirits
We value our liquid assets and the master distillers who make them special, so we’re not the least bit impressed when a celebrity attaches his…

The Normal Deviate

Bulls, Bears & Agnostics
Which party will control the White House and Congress? The dirty little secret is the markets really couldn’t care less. You know Xi Jinping? General…

Rolling the Dice

Trump and Biden’s Bones
Let’s calculate the probabilities of the septuagenarian presidential candidates making it through a full term or being diagnosed with dementia. The probabilities are expressed as…

Fake Financial News

Ballot-Measure Mania
Believe it or not, you actually care about some of the referenda up for a vote on state ballots during the general election—like legalized weed…

Closing Tick

AMERICA NEEDS MORE PARTIES
Multiparty democracy leads to more broadly legitimate, inclusive and moderate policymaking In a two-party democracy, voters can collectively toggle between a left party and a…

Trades

Light this Candle

AMZN: Prime Sell
Candlestick chart analysis for intermediate-term trading  As the third-largest Nasdaq…

The Technician

The Stock Market is Apolitical
A casual observer might assume that who wins or loses the presidency would have a profound effect on both the economy and the stock market, but…

Macro View

US-China Trade Impacts Aussie Dollar
U.S. equity indexes have hit historic highs, but the price action included periods of drawdowns throughout last year. Some drawdowns were related to negative U.S.-China…

Do Diligence

Bump Stocks & Biden
On that historic night in November 2016 when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton for the presidency, traders weren’t glued to news networks but instead to…

Futures

Bond Basics
The stock market comes to mind when people think of trading. After all, stocks breed excitement. Equities have been on a tear for most of…

Cherry Picks

All Your Options
Have a directional assumption about a stock? With options, traders have a much larger range of possibilities than with stocks. Instead of being just “bullish”…
Tactics
Basics of Equity Options Trading
Many investors and traders are comfortable trading equities (i.e. stocks), but fewer are familiar with equity options.  Knowledge and awareness of this niche of the…
Just Another Trading Day
Markets don’t move much when America goes to the polls What happens to the markets during a presidential election? Not much. History indicates traders need…
Three Election-Day Hedges
Check out the pros and cons of three ways to protect a portfolio amid the uncertainties of a race for the presidency  Buy a put…
The Limits of Standard Deviation
Why use standard deviation to look at past stock prices when options provide a window into what’s to come? One of the easiest ways to…
Tail Risk & the Coronavirus Crisis
Humans don’t necessarily worry about “tail risk” on a daily basis, at least not in the same way as animals born with this appendage. For…
Tom Sosnoff Builds Futures
Investors and traders looking to expand their market activities beyond stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equity options may want to tune into a recent TradeTalk…
Exploiting Election Week Volatility
Stock options can triple in volatility as election day approaches, creating opportunities for traders to sell when prices skyrocket Expectation of movement in the markets…
Taking Equity in Futures Options
Equity options traders often rely on implied volatility to assess opportunities, but the practice isn’t limited to the equities segment of the financial markets. Futures…