Topics
Luckbox Lookback: Hindsight in 2020
Luckbox launched its debut issue in April 2019, so it’s time to revisit some of the trends, forecasts and investment ideas that have graced the…
Betting Against the Political Polls
Pollsters fared badly in the 2020 elections, especially down-ballot. Were prediction markets a better bet? Forecasters are a shifty bunch, adept at concocting preemptive excuses…
Luckbox Readers vs. Market Experts
The Luckbox editorial team uses surveys to gauge reader sentiments ahead of every new issue. This time, the same questions asked of readers were posed…
The Prediction Trade
Science with a touch of art has replaced mysticism as the preferred method of foretelling what lies ahead The word “Superforecasting” doesn’t carry any hidden…

The Political Trade

The Normal Deviate

Counting on Volatility
Scientists can only guess when the next pandemic or earthquake will strike, but with the help of volatility traders can quantifiably predict stock prices  The…

Liquid Assets

These Spirits Are in Your Future
The recently launched Whiskey and Barrel Consumer Choice Awards are based on how people actually buy spirits: price The Price of Perfection There’s almost nothing…

In the News

Trader

Meet John Carter
John Carter, founder, Simpler Trading  Age 51 Office Austin, Texas Years trading  31 How did you  start  trading? I spent my junior year of high…

Wellness

Put 2020 To Bed
Over time, a special kind of yoga can help relax the body and mind to promote a restful night’s repose The year 2020 has been…

Trades

Light this Candle

AMZN: Prime Sell
Candlestick chart analysis for intermediate-term trading  As the third-largest Nasdaq…

The Technician

2021 Portends Some Trends to End
The markets—and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to move them—have been in persistently unprecedented territory for more than a dozen years. Looking forward to the new…

Macro View

US-China Trade Impacts Aussie Dollar
U.S. equity indexes have hit historic highs, but the price action included periods of drawdowns throughout last year. Some drawdowns were related to negative U.S.-China…

Do Diligence

Volatility is Predictable
Twenty-first century financial media strive to gather enough clicks to churn millions of dollars in ad revenue. Those clicks are attained via exciting—or frightening—financial numbers…

Futures

Pairs Trading Futures
Futures traders have numerous products, tools and strategies to take advantage of price extremes and ranging markets, but pairs trading is something completely different. Pairs…

Cherry Picks

More Bang for Your Buck
As a trading vehicle, nothing beats futures in terms of cost efficiency, liquidity and, for some, tax treatment. Take a look below.   First, note…
Tactics
The Short Volatility Playbook
The mean-reverting nature of volatility makes it a great candidate for a portfolio, especially compared to directional bets, which typically constitute a 50-50 proposition. Hindsight…
Big Moves are Price Predictors
Big news about big moves—when a stock moves up or down by 2% or more, the probability of subsequent big move increases. Regular readers of…
Covered Calls Explained
Covered calls are one of the most popular options-based strategies in the stock market because they provide equity holders with valuable flexibility when it comes…
Trading Monster Rallies
The iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) rallied an astounding 18% in November and opened up some new trading opportunities in the process. In the…
Delta Values
Traders can take advantage of the key to estimating that an option will expire in-the-money New traders often think they’re drowning in information when they…
Make History Work For You
Google provides historical stock prices traders can study or use to create a personalized portfolio tracker  Anyone with a Google account can easily download historical…
Tom Sosnoff Builds Futures
Investors and traders looking to expand their market activities beyond stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equity options may want to tune into a recent TradeTalk…