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20 Predictions for ’21 and Beyond

By Jeff Joseph

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December 7, 2020

Luckbox tries its hand at forecasting with 20 outlier predictions for the next two years . President-elect Joe Biden and President Donald Trump during the second and final presidential debate….
Three AI Stocks to Watch

By Garrett Baldwin

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March 23, 2023

…C3.ai (AI) will continue to concentrate on enterprise-scale AI applications through software-as-a-service. But Luckbox remains confident in our top stock prediction in December’s annual forecasting issue. We anticipated Palantir (PLTR)…
4 Key Market Events to Watch in December

By Sage Anderson

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November 30, 2022

…course (of aggressive rate hikes), which could in turn be bearish for the stock market. Economists are currently forecasting that roughly 200,000 jobs have been added to the economy during…
A ‘Golden Cross’ is Developing in the S&P 500—Now What?

By Sage Anderson

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January 27, 2023

Recency bias can be an important, and often misleading, factor when it comes to forecasting performance in the financial markets. For example, after a strong year of stock performance in…
Robust September Jobs Report Eases Recession Fears in 2024

By Andrew Prochnow

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October 11, 2024

…prices. However, it doesn’t appear that a recession is looming. Typically, Recessions are preceded by slowdowns in the labor market. Right now, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is forecasting…
What You Need to Know About the Brewing Leveraged Loan Crisis

By Sage Anderson

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February 1, 2023

…agency S&P Global is currently forecasting that the default rate on leveraged loans will rise to roughly 4% in 2023. However, that’s more of a base-case scenario. Some of the…
Review: May Contain Lies, How Stories, Statistics, and Studies Exploit Our Biases—and What We Can Do About It

By Jeff Joseph

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September 10, 2024

…our editorial mission. Our annual forecasting issues and Luckbox Bookshelf articles include numerous forays into how to make thoughtful, well-informed decisions about life, money and probabilities. We appreciate Edmans’ decision not…
How to Trade Options Skew

By Sage Anderson

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February 3, 2023

…skew as an input when forecasting future volatility. This type of approach attempts to account for fluctuations in skew and is included in a pricing analysis when evaluating whether a…
Copper Demand Could Grow by 50% Due to Green Energy Demand

By Sage Anderson

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February 23, 2023

…vice president of metal and mining at Wood MacKenzie, which focuses on commodities research and consulting. Griffin recently told CNBC, “We’re already forecasting major deficits in [the] copper [market] through…
Options Trading Opportunities Multiply as VIX Surges to 6-Month High

By Andrew Prochnow

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April 22, 2024

…U.S. central bank to shift to a more dovish stance in early 2024. But that pivot hasn’t yet materialized, and the interest rates market is now forecasting the first rate…

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