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Predictions for 2024

By Garrett Baldwin

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January 25, 2024

Our respect for the science of forecasting doesn’t prohibit us from engaging in the fun (and folly) of prediction. While we can’t promise outcomes, we can confirm our convictions, prepare…
A Superforecaster Looks Ahead

By Ed McKinley

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January 25, 2024

Forecasting’s foreman offers a glimpse of the future and shares tips on making better predictions
Can These Two Trading Strategies Really Predict a Stock’s Direction?

By Garrett Baldwin

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January 25, 2024

Momentum and insider activity are anomalies that defy the efficient market hypothesis—a theory that says you can’t win big
Existential Threats Aside, AI Will Be Good For Your Health

By James Melton

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January 25, 2024

Algorithms are already surprisingly good at diagnosing ailments, recommending treatment and predicting 10-year heart attack risk. But don’t get too excited.
Factfulness Meets Superforecasting

By Ed McKinley

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January 25, 2024

Two movements aim to nudge society toward a more data-driven search for truth and probability
Your Doctor, Only Smarter

By James Melton

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January 25, 2024

AI will help make physicians better at identifying red flags in your physical exam
AI Picks Up the Pace in 2024

By James Melton

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January 25, 2024

Get ready for a big year for artificial intelligence
Is AI Exciting New Tech or an Existential Threat?

By Ed McKinley

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January 25, 2024

Experts and Superforecasters can’t reach consensus on humanity’s fate
Macy’s: Rejected Takeover Provides New Opportunity for Options Sellers

By Andrew Prochnow

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January 24, 2024

Macy’s recent takeover bid for $21/share makes the stock more attractive for options-focused opportunities
VinFast vs. Rivian: A Comparative Company Analysis

By Andrew Prochnow

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January 17, 2024

VinFast (VFS) could be a major player in the EV industry starting in 2026, but the company is going to need to raise a significant amount of capital to get…

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