Uncertain Indicators

A close look as some historically reliable predictors—some are picking Trump, while others favor Biden An abyss of uncertainty—that’s what the upcoming presidential election represents for the country and the financial markets. To see why the election results are shrouded in mystery, let’s examine the results of three different predictive approaches. First, an economics-based model … Continued

Bear Market Models

Beware the unholy combination of global pandemic, sharply reduced GDP, unprecedentedly high unemployment and a bear market correction Reactions to the COVID-19 global pandemic, including the lockdowns, quarantines and social distancing, have shut down enough businesses and industries to crack the foundation of humanity’s financial security.  The quickly spreading fissures are difficult to track, but … Continued

Huawei, 5G & the US-China Tech War

Is the West ceding power to China?  Most countries have a city or region that’s the national leader in technological innovation and development. In the United States, it’s California’s Silicon Valley, and in India it’s the city of Bangalore. In China it’s the city of  Shenzhen, which is arguably the fastest-growing major city in the … Continued

Handicapping the 2019 US Tennis Open

In the world of sports, European football, cricket, American football, baseball, and basketball usually get the most international coverage. Those sports possess legions of rabid fans who love to immerse themselves in the news and culture of competition.  Usually, the men’s professional tennis circuit occupies a much smaller piece of real estate in the consciousness … Continued