Trends

A New Podcast for Gambling on Politics
By Luckbox
Inspired by the tastytrade financial network’s comprehensive daily coverage of stocks, options and futures markets, Luckbox launched The Political Trade, a weekly podcast devoted to the growing universe of prediction market traders.
Each episode of The Political Trade, available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Play and YouTube, features elite prediction market traders and political insiders offering actionable insights into the week’s best political trading strategies and wagering opportunities.
Frustrated by politics and politicians? Don’t let politics just happen—learn The Political Trade and profit from it.
Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we’ll match the first $20 you invest.
The Political Trade
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Jo Jorgensen: On “Wasted” Votes & Shy Libertarians
By Luckbox
|In solid red or blue states, one vote is unlikely to change the outcome. Instead, Libertarian presidential nominee Jo Jorgensen suggests using that vote to support third parties and, as… -
The Pollster Who Nailed 2016 Says the Polls Are Wrong, Trump Will Win
By Luckbox
|Social desirability bias has created a shy Trump voter effect, Trafalgar Group’s chief pollster Robert Cahaly says. The result? Trump could fare much better on election night than most polls… -
The Pros are Betting on Blue
By Mike Reddy
|Prediction market traders forecast a strong Democratic showing in November Despite Joe Biden’s lead in national polling, the fate of the 2020 election is closely tied to the results of… -
GOP Insider: Begging Trump’s Pardon, Breaking Blago & Some Big, Bold Predictions
By Luckbox
|Mark Vargas, the “mystery man” who helped broker commutations for Rod Blagojevich and Roger Stone, reveals how he accomplished the unlikely, as well as some shocking political predictions Donald Trump’s… -
Hedging Political Bets
|Trading in political markets closely resembles trading in financial markets: Do the homework, make an educated decision and hedge. “Sure things” aren’t always so sure, and that lesson rings true to… -
The Lincoln Project: A Sign of What’s to Come, or Just More Noise?
By Luckbox
|Big-name Republicans are backing the super PAC, including Anthony Scaramucci Republican- and former-Republican-led super PAC the Lincoln Project has cracked the code to virality, but its primary targets aren’t Democrats.… -
Yeezy Money Betting on Kanye for President
By Luckbox
|Kanye West is a powerful influencer, and now he’s influencing prices in the political prediction markets Award-winning rapper Kanye West took to Twitter on the night of July 4 to… -
Derek Phillips’ Best Bets
|What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2020 presidential election? Buy NO on all Democratic positions In general, I don’t endorse betting on President Donald Trump to win… -
Biden’s VP: Buy the News, Sell the Rumor
|When it comes to betting on Joe Biden’s VP, prediction market prices tell one story. But the news can tell another. Political prediction market traders began betting on who will… -
Dylan Ratigan Is Certain About Joe Biden’s VP Pick
By Luckbox
|The most shallow, duplicitous, nefarious, hypocritical and sanctimonious candidate will get the gig, Ratigan says Kamala Harris will be Joe Biden’s vice-presidential nominee, asserts former MSNBC host Dylan Ratigan. “I’ve… -
Rachel Bitecofer Knows Partisan Politics
By Luckbox
|Senior researcher at the Niskanen Center Rachel Bitecofer is no stranger to political forecasting, skyrocketing in popularity after nailing the 2018 midterms with near total accuracy. And to prediction market… -
Derek Phillips’ Best Bets
|A super trader who’s ranked among the top 100 traders on PredictIt’s leaderboards shares tips on which markets have attracted his attention—and his money Which party will win North Carolina… -
5% Growth? Bet on it.
|How does this seem possible? Read the fine print. The last time the American economy grew by a quarterly rate of 5% or more was in the third quarter of… -
Trading on Trump’s Tweets
By Luckbox
|Twitter found itself in the media spotlight after President Donald Trump last Thursday signed an executive order targeting social media platforms and their protections under Section 230 of the Communications… -
News, Comedy & Gambling on Politics
By Jeff Joseph
|Plus sex, drugs and rock ‘n’ roll—this podcast has it all! Get a FREE digital subscription to Luckbox magazine!And…Subscribe here to The Political Trade podcast! The guys at Barstool Sports’… -
Political Predictions
|A pundit with a knack for picking winning trades on Predictit shares his latest best bets Will the U.S. economy hit 5.0%+ GDP growth by year-end 2020? Buy NO under… -
James Carville: Nevada’s Cortez Masto is a Good Bet for Biden’s VP Shortlist
By Mike Reddy
|Nevada Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto reportedly sits among Joe Biden’s “top three” picks for a possible vice presidential running mate, according to Mediaite. The news broke less than a… -
Scaramucci on the Pandemic, Politics and Profitable Predictions
By Luckbox
|Former White House Director of Communications Anthony Scaramucci wrote in a CNN Business Perspectives piece last week that the U.S. government needed to think bigger about its stimulus response to… -
How I Turned $400 into $400,000 Trading Political Futures
|I’ve always been a bit of a gambler. I went to college during the poker boom of the early 2000s, when everyone wanted to become the next Chris Moneymaker. I… -
The Trade War & GDP Growth
By Mike Reddy
|January saw the signing of a “Phase 1” trade agreement between the United States and China, signaling progress in the trade war enveloping the world’s two largest economies. “With this…