The Political Trade

Welcome to The Political Trade

The Political Trade is the only podcast devoted to political freaks and probability geeks seeking fun and profit by trading in political prediction markets.

Host Jeff Joseph joins elite prediction market traders and political insiders offering actionable insights on the week’s best trading opportunities. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.

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Latest Episodes

David Byler: WaPo Data Flips Some States (#21)

Washington Post data analyst and political columnist David Byler talks partisanship and the BLM movement’s likely impact on the upcoming presidential election. In the TRADES segment, he enters the PredictIt trading pits with 12 forecasts, including seven state general elections, Mike Pence, the Democratic VP and yet another Luckbox Lockbox trade!
David Byler: WaPo Data Flips Some States (#21)

Yeez, We Kanye—But, Will He? (#20)

This year’s Fourth of July saw fireworks not only erupting in the sky, but also on social media following a viral tweet by Kanye West. The rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer, composer, entrepreneur, and fashion designer may soon don a new title: presidential candidate. In this breaking news episode of TPT, we go through the biggest stories moving the markets on PredictIt, dedicating special attention to West’s potential presidential bid and what it means for the stakes of the 2020 election.
Yeez, We Kanye—But, Will He? (#20)

Dylan Ratigan Trades: Thinking Outside the Lockbox (#19)

Equipped with raw intuition and unique insights, Dylan Ratigan returns in Part 2, ready to tackle the prediction markets of PredictIt. Wasting no time, Dylan walks through a total of 10 markets, sharing the picks he thinks have the highest probability in each. TRADES include: Handicapping Biden’s health through November, Senate control, the Electoral College and Michelle Obama’s fandom. Dylan then jumps to Trump mispricing and ends the episode with the highest-payout “Luckbox Lockbox trade suggestion to date.
Dylan Ratigan Trades: Thinking Outside the Lockbox (#19)

The Political Trade Blog

Yeezy Money Betting on Kanye for President

Kanye West is a powerful influencer, and now he’s influencing prices in the political prediction markets Award-winning rapper Kanye West took to Twitter on the night of July 4 to… Read More

Connect with Jeff Joseph

Host of The Political Trade & Editorial Director of Luckbox